Returns 2007 year to date


returns YTD 2007

In December I closed a non-performing position in Southwest Airlines (LUV) for a loss. However, due to gains in other positions, most notably PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy (PBW), the value of the portfolio ends the month where it begain, for a return of 14% for the year. By comparison, the Dow ended the year up 6.4%; the Nasdaq ended the year up 9.8%, and the S&P500 ended the year up 3.5%.

realized gain (loss) YTD 2007
Net profit (black bars) or loss (white bars) by month

November was a cruel month with the market whip-sawing up and down fast enough to make your head spin. Thanks to a mini-rally right at the end of the month, I end up down only 2% for the month, but still up 14% year to date. I closed one position for a nice profit, holding pat on everything else.

October ended on a high note, up 7% for the month and 16% YTD. I closed no positions during the month, so the net for the month is $0.

Despite all the turbulence in September, my portfolio rose up 2% for the month and is up 9% YTD. I made no trades during the month, so the net for the month is $0.

For all the stock market gyrations in August, my portfolio ended up 4% for the month and is up 7% YTD. But it wasn't easy!

July was actually a pretty good month — until the last week when the markets went south, way south. Nevertheless, 11 of my 15 trades during the month were for a profit, for reasonable gains locked in.

I exit Jun with the same portfolio value as at the end of May. That despite having banked greater profits than in any previous month (below).

I continued to make up lost ground in May, up 13% from April, and got back in the black for the year, up 5%. Five positions in the Trader Paul portfolio set new 52-week highs on the last day of the month, pushing the value up. Getting smarter? Or just luckier?

I made up a lot of lost ground in April, up 7% from March, but still leaving me down 8% on the year.

Take one baby step forward. I bit the bullet and ate my losses (to mix metaphors) during March. Although I did take some nice profits, they were out-weighed by some big losses.

As the queen said, "We are not amused." The market's little episode on the penultimate day of February ravaged the Trader Paul account. It's little consolation that most of the damage was done by a big pile of HPQ stock that has plunged over $5 in less than a week.

Through the penultimate day of January 2007 I was feeling pretty good. While the value of my Trader Paul portfolio hadn't gone up, neither had it gone down. But this morning I was sucker-punched by news about two short positions; the price of both shot up on the news and I had to take very substantial losses to cover. The end result: down 3% for the month; down 3% for the year to date.